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Vikings at Bears Week 12 Game Preview

EAGAN, Minn. — After completing the AFC South slate with a sweep, the Vikings (8-2) are heading back to the NFC North Sunday when they visit the Chicago Bears (4-6).

This contest will complete a rare three-game road swing before a three-game homestand, and it is Minnesota's third of six division contests.

Vikings Uniform

Although on the road, the Vikings will wear their modern home uniform combination of purple jerseys and white pants because the Bears are opting to wear white jerseys.

Look back at photos over the course of time featuring games between the Vikings and the Bears.

4 Storylines

1. Facing No. 1 overall pick

Let's play two truths and a lie.

Caleb Williams has been sacked on an opponent's blitz 18 times in 2024. Williams leads first-year quarterbacks in touchdown passes. Williams is responsible for 73.3% of Chicago's total yards, the third-highest share by a rookie in NFL history.

The middle statement is false.

Denver's Bo Nix (14 touchdown passes) and Washington's Jayden Daniels (10) rank ahead of Williams (9), who's 23rd in the NFL, and tied with No. 3 pick Drake Maye. (Note: Maye has made four fewer starts).

In 10 games, Williams has clipped 61.8% of his throws for 2,016 yards and rushed 49 times for 306. He recently produced the strangest stat: Williams is the first quarterback per Elias with 20-plus attempts, without a touchdown or interception in four straight contests. His last TD pass was Oct. 13, before the Bears went on bye in Week 7.

Nevertheless, Williams' skill set makes him a threat to move the chains on any down.

Vikings Defensive Coordinator Brian Flores on Tuesday touted Williams' mobility and off-script playmaking, which is what made him a near unanimous choice to be selected first in the 2024 NFL Draft.

He can extend plays with his legs, throw deep on the run and from awkward arm angles and beat defenses with rhythm and timing – when he has sturdy protection and marries his feet with his eyes. That second-to-last part is key, because Williams has been overwhelmed by the blitz this year and taken six more sacks than the next most-sacked QB (41; Houston's C.J. Stroud has been dropped 35 times).

Williams is slotted 25th or worse against the blitz in completion rate (58.9%), pass yards per attempt (6.1), passer rating (81.7) and times sacked (18) among 36 qualified quarterbacks, per Next Gen Stats.

Hello Flores' blitz-happy scheme, which has blitzed on 39.1 percent of opponent dropbacks, per NGS, but also has recorded 23 sacks when not blitzing in 2024.

2. Good luck, rook

Flores has a track record of providing nightmare fuel for first-year quarterbacks.

Rookies are 1-7 against teams with Flores as defensive coordinator or head coach. Offenses with rookie signal-callers average 15.5 points scored and 3.8 sacks allowed per game. They have nine giveaways and seven total touchdowns.

In 2023, Flores' defense buried rookie passers Aidan O'Connell and Bryce Young (oh, whaddya know, another No. 1 overall draft pick). Combined, they generated zero touchdowns and were sacked nine times.

Let's rewind a little further, with additional context.

Since 2000, rookie quarterbacks are 4-16 against defenses ranked in the top five in points, takeaways and sacks in Week 10 or later. Minnesota is fourth (17.0 ppg), tied for first (21) and third (35) in those categories.

3. Brown's solid debut

Here's the Spark Notes version of Chicago's offense:

First-year Bears Offensive Coordinator Shane Waldron was fired from his post before Chicago's Week 11 game against Green Bay. Chicago's offense was anemic under Waldron during a 1-1 start, averaging 176.5 yards. Later, it was plagued by inconsistencies, peaking in Week 5 with 424 yards and bottoming out in Week 10 with 142. Williams was on a regression path – until Thomas Brown received a promotion.

Brown swapped responsibilities as passing game coordinator for first dibs as Chicago's new play caller last Sunday, and results for the Bears and Williams were mostly pleasant. The top pick completed 74.2% of his passes and was a focal point in the run game, finishing with a season-high 70 yards on nine carries.

Furthermore, Williams was dynamic versus the blitz, going 8-for-10 with 87 yards. On the drive that set up an attempt for a game-winning field goal, Williams converted a fourth-and-3 pass for 21 yards to rookie WR Rome Odunze – yup, against the blitz. On the next snap, Williams was unflinching against a seven-man send by the Packers defense and hit Keenan Allen for a gain of 12. According to Next Gen Stats, the rookie QB averaged 2.42 seconds from snap to throw, his quickest release in a game this year.

And now the condensed version of the condensed analysis:

Brown got the monkey off the Bears' back in his debut as OC, helping squash a skid of 25 consecutive possessions without an offensive touchdown (the club's longest drought since 2005) on the third drive.

Overall, Brown's group was balanced, with 212 passing yards and 179 rushing, and had zero turnovers.

On Wednesday, Vikings Head Coach Kevin O'Connell credited Brown for involving Chicago's playmakers on easy throws, while still allowing Williams the freedom to make special plays that are part of his style.

4. Final stop of road trip

Three straight weeks of travel is tough.

Ending that stretch with a divisional game in hostile land is particularly tougher. That's the challenge Minnesota is up against in Week 12, trying to ensure it's 9-2 the next time it plays at U.S. Bank Stadium.

The Vikings, of course, aren't looking ahead. They're focused on outplaying the Bears. Actually, they're focused on something different, well within their control: piecing together a complete performance.

O'Connell talked Wednesday about the importance of urgency – in play style, strain and execution of every single snap. Urgency, but with a limit on making gaffes, in all three phases – offense, defense and special teams – in the Windy City could push Minnesota one step closer to its goals.

For the history nuts, try this recent nugget: The Vikings have won four in a row at Soldier Field, one shy of the longest streak of success there by Minnesota (1996-2000).

3 Things 'Bout the Bears

1. Bad news block

Bears Head Coach Matt Eberflus was right about two things regarding Chicago's blocked field goal try as time expired against the Packers in Week 11: The Bears needed to be firmer in their execution, and Green Bay got away with one.

The NFL rulebook notes that defenders aren't allowed to initiate contact with a long snapper until one second after the ball is snapped. Cairo Santos' kick was blocked up the middle, in part because Scott Daly was practically folded in half immediately after launching the ball back to Tory Taylor for the hold.

The Bears, obviously, can fault more than a botched special teams play in their first divisional game this season – as is the case with every undesirable outcome – but that doesn't make it sting any less.

Vikings Special Teams Coordinator Matt Daniels noted Tuesday that issues surrounding double-A gap penetration and long snappers were so prevalent in the preseason that coordinators around the NFL had discussions and even reached out to officials. Their ruling: It's a judgment call. Daniels admitted the Packers might've perfected the near simultaneous play, and said the trajectory of Santos' kick was low.

2. Stacked receiving corps

DJ Moore, Allen, Odunze and Cole Kmet may be the best on-paper set of pass-catchers on any team.

Production, however, has been a different story.

Moore leads the group with 47 catches and is averaging career lows in yards per catch (9.8) and per game (46.0) – this after averaging a personal-best 80.2 receiving yards per game in 2023. Allen has missed a couple games but has fewer than 50 yards in all eight he's played – a bar he was below just once in 2023. Odunze, the No. 9 overall pick, is faring better, leading the group with 479 yards, including 65-plus in two of his past three games, but hasn't reached the end zone since Sept. 22. Lastly, there's Kmet. The veteran tight end has compiled six receptions for 69 yards over the past four contests.

3. Losing streak

Chicago's last win was a 35-16 romp of Jacksonville in London – more than a month ago.

Since then, the Bears have stumbled to narrow losses against two solid opponents in Washington and Green Bay, suffered one lopsided loss at the hands of Arizona and took an 19-3 L against New England.

Chicago's 4-6 record isn't indicative of a bad team but rather inferior execution throughout games. The Bears have lost on both a Hail Mary and blocked field goal as time expired. They've lost because of breakdowns in protections and miscues in the secondary, a woeful conversion rate on the 10th-most third downs (31.9%; tied-second worst) and an underperforming but talented offense (19.4 points per game).

The Bears aren't a bad team. They're capable of beating anyone, but they are having a difficult time doing it.

2 Vikings to Track

Justin Jefferson: A week after setting the record for the most receiving yards in a player's first five seasons, Jefferson has a chance to become the fastest player to reach 7,000 receiving yards. He would need a season-high 189 to hit the mark in his 71st career game, which would be faster than Julio Jones and Lance Alworth (72 games each). Jefferson could still hit other milestones if he doesn't get the buck-89. He needs three catches to pass Kyle Rudolph for sixth in Vikings history and needs 88 to secure his fifth consecutive season with 1,000 receiving yards.

Aaron Jones, Sr.: The first-year Viking is no-stranger to battling the Bears. Jones went 12-1 with Green Bay in 13 games against Chicago. He needs 46 yards (rushing, receiving or combo) for his fifth NFL season with at least 1,000 scrimmage yards.

1 Key Matchup

Vikings LB Blake Cashman vs. Bears RB D'Andre Swift

Minnesota knows D'Andre Swift well. The 25-year-old running back suited up in 40 games, including five against the Vikings, across his first three NFL seasons with the Lions. He's patient in navigating messes, possesses great vision and acceleration, and in 2023 exposed Minnesota's run defense on Thursday Night Football.

"The last time we saw Swift," Flores said Tuesday, "it wasn't great."

Swift popped 12 runs of 5 or more yards in last year's Week 2 meeting between Minnesota and Philadelphia. Overall, he rushed 28 times for a career-high 175 yards. With 4:35 left in the fourth quarter of that game, Swift burst for 43, essentially icing it (the Vikings trailed 27-21 and eventually lost 34-28).

There were red flags galore on that 43-yarder: Swift ran clean right off the backside of Eagles left guard Landon Dickerson, who smashed into Harrison Phillips on a down block to his right; Eagles left tackle Jordan Mailata released unscathed to the second level – because Dean Lowry didn't get hands on him before engaging tight end Dallas Goedert – and knocked back Joshua Metellus a good 5 yards; Ivan Pace, Jr., tried to execute a blitz but collided with Jordan Hicks in the backside B gap, away from the play, and safeties Harrison Smith and Camryn Bynum missed tackle attempts due to leverages.

It summed up the pains of Flores' first year, which had promising schematics but an adjusting personnel.

Enter a group of lights-out defensive free-agent signings, led by green dot linebacker Blake Cashman, who isn't individually responsible for stopping Swift but will play a tremendous role softening his impact.

Cashman ranks second on the Vikings defense with 7.0 tackles per game (Pace: 7.4) and already tied his career highs with three sacks and five passes defended in seven appearances. Since returning from a bout with turf toe, which sidelined Cashman in Weeks 7-9, he's activated the full potential of Flo's unit.

Swift, meanwhile, has been a consistent force in Chicago's offense dating to Sept. 29, when he helped the Bears defeat the Los Angeles Rams. In that span, Swift has rushed 118 times for 567 yards (4.8 avg.).

Swift vs. Cashman reads more like a battle of X factors.

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